Match Info

National League - Round 44

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	9
	1.3	5.15	8.4	Watch
	1.29	5.33	10.6
	1.35	4.57	8.88	Watch
	1.3	4.8	9.5
	1.33	4.84	9.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	4.91 ↑ (4.62)	9.26 ↑ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
71%

Draw
19%

Wealdstone
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.1%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

19.3%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Rochdale - Wealdstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wealdstone will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 18. Barlow A. 22. Moss D. 38. Smith T. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 2. Cook J. (C) 5. Woodman D. 22. McAvoy C. 7. Boldewijn E. 17. Hutchinson D. 8. Kadji D. 25. Wells-Morrison J. 20. Tshikuna N. 32. Hinchy J. 14. Obiero M.
Substitutes
35. Baptiste A. 36. Francis E. 37. Gordon J. 12. Hannant L. 40. Henderson I. 16. Pettit C. 10. Rodney D.	27. Adarkwa S. 23. Agyemang T. 3. Georgiou A. 13. Johnson E. (G) 15. Nathaniel-George A. 9. Olomola O. 29. Tiensia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Gordon K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Smith T. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Woodman D. ⚽, Cook J. (A),
64', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
64', Barlow A. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
64', Moss D. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
69', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
72', Obiero M. ↓, Adarkwa S. ↑,
72', Tshikuna N. ↓, Nathaniel-George A. ↑,
72', Gilmour H. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
77', Kadji D. ↓, Agyemang T. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽, Francis E. (A),
82', Gordon J. 🟨,
87', Hinchy J. ↓, Georgiou A. ↑,
87', Hutchinson D. ↓, Tiensia J. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Hannant L. ⚽, Rodney D. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wealdstone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wealdstone has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rochdale is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWTW
- Wealdstone
English National League
06.04.26	Wealdstone - Aldershot Town	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Boreham Wood - Wealdstone	5:1 ✺
31.03.26	Wealdstone - Hartlepool United	7:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.03.26	Wealdstone - Marine	1:0 ✺
English National League
25.03.26	Wealdstone - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.08.25	Wealdstone - Rochdale	1:3
08.03.25	Rochdale - Wealdstone	4:1
16.11.24	Wealdstone - Rochdale	2:0
27.02.24	Rochdale - Wealdstone	3:0
11.11.23	Wealdstone - Rochdale	3:2

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