Match Info

National League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Rochdale		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.82	3.65	3.95	Watch
	1.83	3.81	4.21
	1.82	3.77	3.92	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.8	3.64	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.58)	3.7 ↓ (4.07)	4.1 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rochdale
52.3%

Draw
25.1%

Scunthorpe United
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Rochdale - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Rochdale (2.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 8. Gilmour H. 4. East R. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 10. Rodney D. 12. Hannant L. 22. Moss D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	12. Jones L. (G) 4. Belehouan J. 5. Evans W. 3. Horton B. 33. Denton T. 25. Westbrooke Z. 11. Rowley J. 17. Ewing O. 10. Roberts C. (C) 9. Whitehall D. 14. Jones P.
Substitutes
35. Baptiste A. 33. Beckwith S. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J. 38. Smith T.	44. Barrows R. 8. Beestin A. 6. Boyce A. 7. Howe D. 38. Mahady R. (G) 2. Rose O. 20. Scales K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Evans W. (Own goal),
19', Horton B. 🟨,
34', Adebayo-Rowling T. 🟨,
42', Whitehall D. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
45+1', Moss D. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Howe D. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Rodney D. ⚽, Hannant L. (A),
66', Jones P. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
66', Ewing O. ↓, Scales K. ↑,
66', Belehouan J. ↓, Barrows R. ↑,
69', Denton T. 🟨,
77', Hannant L. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
77', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Howe D. ⚽, Jones L. (A),
86', East R. ↓, Beckwith S. ↑,
89', Rowley J. ↓, Boyce A. ↑,
90+1', Scales K. 🟨,
90+5', Evans W. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Scunthorpe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rochdale is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
25.04.26	Rochdale - York City	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Braintree Town - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Rochdale - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWTL
- Scunthorpe United
English National League
28.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wealdstone - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Gateshead - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	2:2
17.02.26	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:4
English League Two
19.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:2
14.08.21	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	0:0
English League One
23.03.19	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	3:1
08.09.18	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	3:3

Upcoming Matches