Match Info

Super League - Round 31

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Borneo Samarinda		Persita Tangerang

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5.25
	1.3	4.95	7.3	Watch
	1.33	5.41	9.79
	1.37	4.86	7.35	Watch
	1.3	4.8	7.5
	1.39	5.11	6.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.61)	4.87 ↑ (4.05)	7.26 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borneo Samarinda
68.2%

Draw
19%

Persita Tangerang
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borneo Samarinda's performance.

Persita Tangerang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persita Tangerang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borneo Samarinda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persita Tangerang than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persita Tangerang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Borneo Samarinda - Persita Tangerang Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Borneo (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borneo Samarinda will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Borneo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Argawinata N. (C) 54. Buffon A. 22. Nduwarugira C. 16. Teguh K. 23. Caxambu 50. Enero 8. Hirose K. 96. Kaio Nunes 20. Villa J. 10. Peralta M. 9. Obieta K.	29. Rodrigues I. (G) 11. Toha M. (C) 5. Kozubayev T. 15. Fathoni C. 66. Jardel M. 19. Guseynov J. 8. Ganet P. 7. Rodriguez R. 36. Djiaulhaq Z. 99. Sahrul E. 93. Andrejic A.
Substitutes
52. Ahmad Agung 7. Astina M. 5. Cleylton 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 3. Idrus A. 68. Jusuf H. 88. Kuswardani D. 24. Michiels D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.	22. Alchoir F. 33. Bae Sin-Young 10. Bessa E. 20. Bueno R. 80. Caraka H. 96. Kartika A. (G) 9. Nur Hardianto A. 69. Pamungkas R. (G) 30. Saputra A. 25. Yafi Y. 27. Zalnando
Coaches
Lefundes F.	Pena C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Kaio Nunes 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽, Obieta K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Djiaulhaq Z. ↓, Bueno R. ↑,
46', Fathoni C. ↓, Nur Hardianto A. ↑,
46', Sahrul E. ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
58', Rodriguez R. 🟥,
58', Kaio Nunes ↓, Astina M. ↑,
69', Bueno R. 🟨,
72', Andrejic A. ↓, Bessa E. ↑,
81', Jardel M. ↓, Zalnando ↑,
83', Villa J. ↓, Cleylton ↑,
83', Buffon A. ↓, Sihran M. ↑,
84', Enero ↓, Hardiansyah D. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Sihran M. ⚽, Obieta K. (A),
90+1', Peralta M. ↓, Jusuf H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 3.

Borneo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Persita's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Borneo is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Borneo will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Persita	4	2	2	0	8:6	2	8
11	Borneo	4	2	0	2	3:4	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Borneo Samarinda - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
29.04.26	Persik Kediri - Borneo Samarinda	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Borneo Samarinda - PSBS Biak Numfor	5:1 ✺
05.04.26	Madura United - Borneo Samarinda	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- Persita Tangerang
Indonesian Super League
30.04.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Persita Tangerang - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Persik Kediri - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Persita Tangerang - Arema	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
09.01.26	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	2:0
22.02.25	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	1:2
30.09.24	Borneo Samarinda - Persita Tangerang	0:0
02.03.24	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	0:1
25.08.23	Borneo Samarinda - Persita Tangerang	2:1
20.02.23	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	1:1
09.09.22	Borneo Samarinda - Persita Tangerang	2:2

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