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Current Win Probability
Crotone 20.5%
Draw 23.8%
Lazio 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.5%
23.9%
54.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17%
18.9%
69.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lazio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.4%
4.7%
82.9%
Crotone - Lazio Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lazio will win
(107 of 129 users predict this - 82.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.46% – 89.44%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
No spectators.
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Crotone has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lazio has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (14%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Crotone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lazio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Lazio is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Watch
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