Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Disney+, TV Record
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2, Sport 2
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia, Sportitalia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV7
Romania	21:45	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, Inter


	Lazio		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.22	Watch
	3.44	3.2	2.37
	1.49	3.47	9.64	Watch
	3.57	3.27	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.74 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
36.1%

Draw
34.1%

Juventus
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lazio's performance.

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	35.9%	45.3%

Lazio - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 12 - 19%). Juventus will win (votes: 29 - 46%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 34.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 33.7% – 58.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Juventus (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Juventus (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Lazio (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Juventus (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 77. Marusic A. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	1. Perin M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 4. Gatti F. 6. Kelly L. 7. Conceicao F. 8. Koopmeiners T. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 22. McKennie W. 27. Cambiaso A. 30. David J. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 25. Provstgaard O. 5. Vecino M.	17. Adzic V. 16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 43. Fuscaldo M. (G) 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 44. Pedro Felipe 24. Rugani D. 19. Thuram K. 10. Yildiz K. 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Tudor I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Basic T. ⚽, Cataldi D. (A),
30', Koopmeiners T. 🟨,
33', Lazzari M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cambiaso A. ↓, Yildiz K. ↑,
52', Locatelli M. 🟨,
54', McKennie W. 🟨,
55', Lazzari M. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
64', Kelly L. 🟨,
66', David J. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
66', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Thuram K. ↑,
68', Basic T. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
78', McKennie W. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
82', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
83', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
86', Gatti F. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
90+1', Guendouzi M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.

Lazio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventus is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Juventus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juventus might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (Hamstring Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Tavares N. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Knee Injury) Cabal J. (Thigh Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Pellegrini Lu. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLL
- Juventus
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Real Madrid - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Como - Juventus	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Juventus - Milan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Villarreal - Juventus	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Juventus - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.05.25	Lazio - Juventus	1:1
19.10.24	Juventus - Lazio	1:0
Coppa Italia
23.04.24	Lazio - Juventus	2:1
02.04.24	Juventus - Lazio	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.03.24	Lazio - Juventus	1:0
16.09.23	Juventus - Lazio	3:1
08.04.23	Lazio - Juventus	2:1

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