Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Disney+, TV Record
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia, Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Lazio		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.22	Watch
	3.44	3.2	2.37
	1.49	3.47	9.64	Watch
	3.57	3.27	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.74 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
36.1%

Draw
34.1%

Juventus
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lazio's performance.

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	35.9%	45.3%

Lazio - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 12 - 19%). Juventus will win (votes: 29 - 46%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 34.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 33.7% – 58.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Juventus (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Juventus (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Lazio (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Juventus (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 77. Marusic A. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	1. Perin M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 4. Gatti F. 6. Kelly L. 7. Conceicao F. 8. Koopmeiners T. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 22. McKennie W. 27. Cambiaso A. 30. David J. 9. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 25. Provstgaard O. 5. Vecino M.	17. Adzic V. 16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 43. Fuscaldo M. (G) 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 44. Pedro Felipe 24. Rugani D. 19. Thuram K. 10. Yildiz K. 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Tudor I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Basic T. ⚽, Cataldi D. (A),
30', Koopmeiners T. 🟨,
33', Lazzari M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cambiaso A. ↓, Yildiz K. ↑,
52', Locatelli M. 🟨,
54', McKennie W. 🟨,
55', Lazzari M. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
64', Kelly L. 🟨,
66', David J. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
66', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Thuram K. ↑,
68', Basic T. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
78', McKennie W. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
82', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
83', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
86', Gatti F. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
90+1', Guendouzi M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.

Lazio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventus is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Juventus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juventus might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Castellanos T. (Thigh Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (Hamstring Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Tavares N. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Knee Injury) Cabal J. (Thigh Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Pellegrini Lu. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLL
- Juventus
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Real Madrid - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Como - Juventus	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Juventus - Milan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Villarreal - Juventus	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Juventus - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.05.25	Lazio - Juventus	1:1
19.10.24	Juventus - Lazio	1:0
Coppa Italia
23.04.24	Lazio - Juventus	2:1
02.04.24	Juventus - Lazio	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.03.24	Lazio - Juventus	1:0
16.09.23	Juventus - Lazio	3:1
08.04.23	Lazio - Juventus	2:1

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