Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Marbella Football Center (Málaga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga


	Borussia Dortmund		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.19	6.75	9	Watch
	1.19	7.01	10.22
	1.18	7.01	10.22
	1.14	6.5	10
	1.2	7.6	11	Watch
	1.21	6.8	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)	6.95 ↑ (5.65)	9.97 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
77.6%

Draw
13.2%

Standard Liège
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

16.3%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

13.4%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund's performance.

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Standard Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (C) 24. Meunier T. 15. Hummels M. 25. Sule N. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 6. Ozcan S. 19. Brandt J. 21. Malen D. 20. Sabitzer M. 43. Bynoe-Gittens J. 18. Moukoko Y.	16. Bodart A. (G) 51. Noubi Ngnokam L. 4. Vanheusden Z. (C) 34. Laifis K. 13. Fossey M. 33. Sahabo H. 8. Price I. 19. Djenepo M. 6. Kawabe H. 18. Sowah K. 14. Kanga W.
Substitutes
48. Bamba S. 42. Blank H. 9. Brunner P. 10. Campbell C. 14. Fullkrug N. 35. Lotka M. (G) 33. Meyer A. (G) 47. Papadopoulos A. 30. Pohlmann O. 7. Reyna G. 13. Watjen K.	22. Balikwisha W. 20. Bokadi M. 61. Canak C. 2. Dewaele G. 40. Epolo M. (G) 32. Ghalidi B. 25. Hautekiet I. 30. Henkinet L. (G) 99. Lawrence H. 98. Mawete N. 7. Mundle R. 3. Ngoy N. 10. Ohio N. 28. Perica S. 45. Poitoux T. (G)
Coaches
Terzic E.	Leko I.

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Standard is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Standard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Borussia D have a series of home games.

In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Borussia Dortmund - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.12.23	Borussia Dortmund - Mainz	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.12.23	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTTL
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.23	Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
20.12.23	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Standard Liège - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	2:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
07.12.23	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.01.20	Standard Liège - Borussia Dortmund	0:0
12.01.17	Borussia Dortmund - Standard Liège	3:0
11.01.14	Borussia Dortmund - Standard Liège	2:0

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