Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Augsburg		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.57	Watch
	4.95	4.45	1.58	Watch
	3.9	4.2	1.87
	3.94	4.05	1.82	Watch
				Watch
	5.35	4.54	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (3.94)	4.35 ↑ (4.05)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
20.9%

Draw
22.2%

Borussia Dortmund
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

23.5%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.1%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	2.2%	93.5%

Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Augsburg (2.45) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - draw (1.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Borussia D (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Borussia D (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Borussia D (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (84 of 89 users predict this - 94.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.6% – 99.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (40 of 41 users predict this - 97.56%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 46 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 2.2%). Borussia D (votes: 44 - 95.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (C) 31. Schlotterbeck K. 5. Matsima C. 40. Banks N. 19. Fellhauer R. 4. Massengo H. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 36. Komur M. 20. Claude-Maurice A.	1. Kobel G. (G) 28. Anselmino A. 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 2. Couto Y. 13. Gross P. 8. Nmecha F. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. (C) 17. Chukwuemeka C. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 17. Jakic K. 30. Kade A. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 26. Saad E. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M. 16. Zesiger C.	27. Adeyemi K. 7. Bellingham J. 23. Can E. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 24. Svensson D.
Coaches
Wagner S.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Rexhbecaj E. 🟨,
49', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
62', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
62', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
63', Komur M. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
63', Massengo H. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
65', Rieder F. 🟨,
67', Kobel G. 🟨,
74', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
74', Beier M. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
76', Giannoulis D. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
81', Fellhauer R. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
82', Tietz P. 🟨,
82', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
90+5', Brandt J. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Recent performances by Augsburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Borussia D is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Augsburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Borussia D is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Sule N. (Toe Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:45. (average 1.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTW
- Borussia Dortmund
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Copenhagen - Borussia Dortmund	2:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.03.25	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	0:1
26.10.24	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
04.05.24	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	5:1
16.12.23	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
21.05.23	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:3
22.01.23	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	4:3
27.02.22	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1

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