Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Boston River		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.70	Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.90
	2.43	3.10	2.70
	2.47	3.15	3.17
	2.54	3.15	2.84	Watch
	2.40	3.05	3.10
	2.46	3.24	2.83	Watch
	2.37	3.20	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.68)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)	2.89 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
38.4%

Draw
29.6%

Defensor Sporting
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Boston River - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 4. Fernandez I. 15. Vazquez L. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 10. Amado A. 22. Martinez F. 26. Munoa F. 16. Suhr L. 9. Bonfiglio F.	12. Dawson K. (G) 4. Rodriguez G. 14. Sorondo F. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 15. Frugone A. 5. Barrios G. 24. de los Santos L. 11. Agazzi L. 8. Wunsch N. 10. Biscayzacu X. 26. Montenegro B.
Substitutes
25. Aguirre A. 13. Aristegui F. 20. Avenatti F. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 3. Mancebo M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 11. Ramirez G. 6. Saravia F. 27. Siri N. 8. Suarez L.	25. Abella D. 20. Caballero M. 18. Cafaro L. 30. Cuello E. 2. Elizalde E. 99. Navarro L. 29. Pozzo T. A. 21. Scotti N. 23. Simone B. (G) 22. Torterolo A.
Coaches
Cazulo J.	Larriera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Vazquez L. ⚽,
32', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
39', Vazquez L. 🟨,
43', Saravia Salvia R. A. 🟨,
45', Acosta J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Biscayzacu X. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
62', Fernandez I. 🟨,
63', Vazquez L. ↓, Saravia F. ↑,
71', De los Santos G. ↓, Scotti N. ↑,
73', Saravia F. 🟨,
77', Amado A. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
78', Munoa F. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
79', Barrios G. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
79', Agazzi L. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
86', Rodriguez G. ↓, Abella D. ↑,
87', Fernandez I. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
87', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
90', Avenatti F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1.

Boston River has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Defensor Sporting has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Boston River may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Boston River has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:27 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boston River against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Boston River	12	4	3	5	14:15	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Boston River - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Defensor Sporting - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguay Copa
14.10.26	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.10.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.10.26	Defensor Sporting - Cerro	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Albion Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	3:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.09.26	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.06.26	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	1:1
11.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0
02.08.25	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	4:0
31.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0
Uruguay Copa
22.11.24	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	1:2
05.04.24	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	2:2

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