Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Boston River		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.5
	2.75	3	2.52	Watch
	2.86	3.15	2.69
	2.91	2.86	2.66	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.5
	2.81	3.07	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.41)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	2.57 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
33%

Draw
30.8%

Defensor Sporting
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston River's form might have worsened.

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston River, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Boston River - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 4. Gomez M. 22. Martinez F. 32. Barcia B. 8. Vera M. 10. Amado A. 70. Albarracin A. 9. Anello A. 7. Rodriguez F.	12. Dawson K. (G) 13. Furtado N. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 15. Viacava J. 14. Pacifico P. 11. Agazzi L. 5. Barrios G. 24. de los Santos L. 16. Alvarez J. 10. Abaldo M. 9. Machado A.
Substitutes
11. Avenatti F. 25. Chiappini F. 17. Haller R. 5. Lemos L. 21. Lopez G. 26. Munoa F. 27. Silvera T. 2. Sotto K. 12. Torres J. (G) 18. Viera G.	19. Abreu D. 25. Biscayzacu X. 90. Cambon A. 30. Cuello E. 29. Dudok R. 45. Ginella F. 2. Lima A. 1. Machado L. (G) 22. Torterolo A. 8. Wunsch N.
Coaches
Viera J.	Ithurralde I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Barrios G. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Barrios G. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
46', Rodriguez F. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
53', De los Santos G. 🟨,
58', De los Santos G. 🟥,
60', 2 - 0, Anello A. ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, Albarracin A. ⚽,
65', Abaldo M. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
69', Anello A. 🟨,
69', Martinez F. 🟨,
71', Albarracin A. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
71', Anello A. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
71', Barcia B. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Avenatti F. ⚽,
83', Pacifico P. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
83', Machado A. ↓, Dudok R. ↑,
83', Vera M. ↓, Lemos L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1.

Recent form of Boston River has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Defensor Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.06.25	Boston River - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Boston River - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Progreso - Boston River	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Boston River - Danubio	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.06.25	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Defensor Sporting - Cerro	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	4:2 ✺
07.06.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
31.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0
Uruguay Copa
22.11.24	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	1:2
05.04.24	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	2:2
20.11.23	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0
09.07.23	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	0:1
16.04.23	Boston River - Defensor Sporting	1:0

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