Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 5
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	OHiggins		Boston River

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	8	Watch
	1.44	3.95	7.4
	1.47	4.21	7.71
	1.52	4.07	6.77	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.46	3.93	7.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.7)	3.99 ↑ (3.5)	7.46 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
63.9%

Draw
23.5%

Boston River
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OHiggins's performance.

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boston River might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OHiggins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boston River could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

OHiggins - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Boston River will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 21. Garrido N. 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 10. Rabello B. (C) 9. Castillo A.	1. Antunez B. (G) 23. Rivero M. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 99. Reyna G. 14. Dafonte F. 10. Amado A. 21. Perez F. 8. Bonfiglio F. 32. Gonzalez Y.
Substitutes
20. Diaz L. 14. Maturana M. 2. Morales C. 18. Moreira E. 27. Movillo J. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 15. Rojas B. 28. Schamine B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.	31. Acosta J. 5. Barrios F. 9. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 20. Hornos M. 29. Lima A. 3. Mancebo M. 28. Martinicorena F. 26. Munoa F. 11. Ramirez G. 2. Sotto K. 16. Suhr L.
Coaches
Bovaglio L.	Ithurralde I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Martin Sarrafiore ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez F. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
46', Dafonte F. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Martin Sarrafiore (A),
62', Dafonte F. ↓, Barrios F. ↑,
62', Reyna G. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
63', Rabello B. 🟨,
66', Pavez L. 🟨,
68', Suhr L. 🟥,
72', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Acosta J. ↑,
72', Rabello B. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
79', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
79', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
82', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Martinicorena F. ↑,
88', Brizuela M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
88', Gonzalez F. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
89', O'Neill Lopez J. S. 🟥,

Preview

OHiggins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boston River is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boston River may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, OHiggins is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
25.04.26	Ñublense - OHiggins	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Cobresal - OHiggins	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	São Paulo - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
10.04.26	OHiggins - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	OHiggins - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLLW
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.04.26	Montevideo City Torque - Boston River	4:1 ✺
20.04.26	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Millonarios - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Boston River - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

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