Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Boston United		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.1
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.11	3.33	3.52
	2.05	3.35	3.69
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.06	3.38	3.4
	2.02	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.1)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	3.35 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
44.9%

Draw
27.6%

Curzon Ashton
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Boston United - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boston United won 2.

Boston United is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Curzon Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boston United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Boston United won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston United won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League North
06.01.24	Scunthorpe United - Boston United	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Boston United - King`s Lynn Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	King`s Lynn Town - Boston United	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Boston United - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Chester - Boston United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWT
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
06.01.24	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	0:0 ✺
01.01.24	Southport - Curzon Ashton	0:3 ✺
26.12.23	Curzon Ashton - Southport	3:2 ✺
23.12.23	Chorley - Curzon Ashton	4:0 ✺
19.12.23	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	3:1
22.04.23	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	2:2
22.10.22	Boston United - Curzon Ashton	0:1
09.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	0:4
28.08.21	Boston United - Curzon Ashton	2:1
06.02.21	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	Canceled
07.03.20	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	1:1

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