Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 24

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Boston United		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.45	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.56	3.1	2.95
	2.56	2.99	2.95
	2.38	3	2.75
	2.47	3.08	2.84
	2.4	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.41)	3.07 ↓ (3.31)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
37.6%

Draw
29.9%

Alfreton Town
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Boston United - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boston United won 1.

Boston United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alfreton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfreton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Boston United won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston United won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League North
16.12.23	Chester - Boston United	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Brackley Town - Boston United	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Boston United - Chorley	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	Boston United - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
16.12.23	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Walsall - Alfreton Town	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Alfreton Town - Walsall	0:0 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Alfreton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.09.23	Alfreton Town - Boston United	4:0
04.02.23	Alfreton Town - Boston United	3:1
01.11.22	Boston United - Alfreton Town	1:0
15.03.22	Alfreton Town - Boston United	1:1
02.01.22	Boston United - Alfreton Town	2:3
26.12.20	Boston United - Alfreton Town	2:0
06.08.19	Alfreton Town - Boston United	1:1

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