Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 4 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Passo d'Areia (Porto Alegre)


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.22	3.1	2.34
	3.12	2.98	2.32
	3.2	3	2.05
	3.47	3.48	1.93	Watch
	3.1	3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (4.42)	3.09 ↓ (3.63)	2.2 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
28.9%

Draw
29.6%

Athletic Club
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.9%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC São José Porto Alegre's performance.

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Club might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

EC São José Porto Alegre - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. EC São José will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 2. Danielzinho 5. Davi 10. Edinho 7. Emerson Brito 3. Fredson 6. Marcilio 17. Nonato 9. Palacio A. 14. Rafael Carillho 8. Samuel	1. Glauco (G) 18. Caldeira R. 3. Danilo Cardoso 10. David Braga 9. Denilson 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 8. Djalma 4. Edson Miranda 7. Welinton Torrao 2. Ynaia 6. Yuri
Substitutes
18. Alessandro Vinicius 4. Carlos Alexandre 20. Diogo Sodre 13. Evaristo 19. Gabriel Silva 11. Marcos Calazans 22. Matheuzinho 16. Nayssinho M. V. 12. Peralta A. (G) 21. Rene Sousa 15. Thiago Tinoco	20. Alason Carioca 16. Bruno Gomes 13. Douglas Pele 12. Jefferson Luis (G) 22. Lucas Mineiro 15. Marcelo Sousa 17. Nathan 19. Neto Costa 21. Rafael Conceicao 14. Victor Sallinas 11. Villero P.
Coaches
Pingo	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Djalma 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Djalma ⚽,
37', Danielzinho ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Edinho ↓, Marcos Calazans ↑,
54', Davi ↓, Carlos Alexandre ↑,
69', Marcilio ↓, Rene Sousa ↑,
69', Samuel ↓, Thiago Tinoco ↑,
71', Djalma ↓, Nathan ↑,
76', Welinton Torrao ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
76', Caldeira R. ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
78', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
88', Bruno Gomes 🟨,
89', David Braga ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
89', Denilson ↓, Victor Sallinas ↑,

Preview

Athletic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
30.06.24	Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Londrina	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	CS Alagoano - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie C
29.06.24	Athletic Club - São Bernardo	1:4 ✺
26.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
15.06.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
09.06.24	Athletic Club - Volta Redonda	3:2 ✺
03.06.24	Botafogo PB - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

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