Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Londrina		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.9	2.8
	2.45	3	2.8	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.92
	2.46	2.81	2.92
	2.38	2.88	2.75
	2.42	2.94	2.92	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
37.2%

Draw
31.2%

Botafogo PB
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Londrina - Botafogo PB Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Botafogo PB will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Londrina: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arthur (G) 11. Calyson Rosa 9. Daniel Amorim (C) 7. Henrique 3. Joao Maistro 8. Kady 6. Mauricio 10. Rafael Longuine 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Taua 2. Thiago Ennes	1. Dalton (C) 8. Edmundo 32. Evandro 15. Gama 29. Jo 19. Joaozinho 2. Lenon 14. Renie 20. Thallyson 16. Warley 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
21. Caio Roque 14. Davi 17. Echapora 22. Everton 12. Gabriel Felix (G) 16. Geferson 15. Martha 24. Pablo 18. Pedro Cacho 13. Pedro Jorge 19. Riquelmy 20. Samuel Andrade	10. Bruno Leite 12. Caio (G) 3. Douglas 22. Erick 17. Gabriel Lima 25. Gustavo Poffo 33. Lucas Balardin 5. Lucas Goncalves 23. Pedro Ivo 6. Rafael Furlan 7. Will
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Evandro 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Renie ⚽,
37', Kady 🟨,
45', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lenon ↓, Erick ↑,
56', Jo 🟨,
57', Joao Maistro 🟨,
60', Henrique 🟨,
61', Gama ↓, Bruno Leite ↑,
61', Joaozinho ↓, Will ↑,
62', Thiago Ennes ↓, Geferson ↑,
62', Rafael Longuine ↓, Everton ↑,
66', Henrique ↓, Echapora ↑,
73', Evandro ↓, Rafael Furlan ↑,
77', Kady ↓, Davi ↑,
77', Calyson Rosa ↓, Martha ↑,
80', Jo ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
81', 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Daniel Amorim ⚽,
90+2', Martha 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Londrina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo PB is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
16.06.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Londrina	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Londrina	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Londrina - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Londrina - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTW
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.24	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
03.06.24	Botafogo PB - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
03.04.19	Londrina - Botafogo PB	3:3
13.03.19	Botafogo PB - Londrina	0:2

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