Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Retrô Brasil		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.85	2.9
				Watch
	2.34	3	3.31
	2.4	2.7	3
	2.23	3.17	3.27	Watch
	2.39	3.24	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.48)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	3.02 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
39.1%

Draw
30.6%

Londrina
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Retrô Brasil - Londrina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Londrina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 13. Bruno Peres 7. Fabinho (C) 6. Gustavo Salomao 27. Jonas 11. Junior Fialho 26. Ly I. 30. Maycon Douglas 29. Mendonca 4. Rayan Ribeiro 99. Vagner Love	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 3. Caio Rodrigues 14. Cedric 11. Iago Teles 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Pablo Ruan 10. Robson Duarte 7. Vitinho 4. Wallace (C)
Substitutes
17. Diego Guerra 25. Eduardo 18. Franco R. 20. Gledson 28. Joao Lucas 9. Mascote 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 19. Rayne Assis 21. Rodolfo 5. Romulo 2. Savio 14. Tales	19. Edson Carius 12. Elzo Neto (G) 22. Gabriel Canela 20. Gustavo Franca 17. Henrique 2. Joao Vitor 15. Marco Antonio 21. Thauan 18. Vitor J. 13. Yago Lincoln
Coaches
Schulle I.	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
9', Fabian Volpi 🟥,
14', Vagner Love ↓, Paulo Gianezini ↑,
37', Ly I. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Lucas Marques ⚽,
44', 🟨,
45+1', Alison 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ly I. ↓, Tales ↑,
46', Jonas ↓, Gledson ↑,
54', Gledson 🟨,
60', 0 - 3, Pablo Ruan ⚽,
63', 🟨,
64', Caio Rodrigues ↓, Yago Lincoln ↑,
64', Lucas Marques ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
64', Vitinho ↓, Thauan ↑,
68', Pablo Ruan ↓, Edson Carius ↑,
74', Alison ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
75', Junior Fialho ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
78', 🟨,
83', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.25	Anápolis - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Guarani	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TLLWW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Londrina - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Caxias - Londrina	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	Londrina - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	Confiança - Londrina	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWT

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