Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Londrina		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.98	3	3.65	Watch
	2.06	3.1	4.13
				Watch
	2	2.9	3.7
	2.03	3.04	4.05	Watch
	1.98	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
45.6%

Draw
30.2%

Figueirense
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.8%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

30.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Londrina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Londrina - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Londrina: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Londrina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 3. Caio Rodrigues 10. Gustavo Franca 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 2. Joao Vitor 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Pablo Ruan 4. Wallace (C)	12. Fabricio Santana (G) 90. Felipe Augusto 92. Iury 33. Jhony Douglas 8. Joao Lucas 22. Leonan 4. Ligger (C) 37. Lucas Dias 11. Marlyson 50. Nicolas 28. Rafinha Potiguar
Substitutes
20. Caio Rafael 14. Cedric 19. Edson Carius 12. Elzo Neto (G) 23. Kaique 15. Marco Antonio 16. Rafael Soares 21. Robson Duarte 22. Vitinho 18. Vitor J. 13. Yago Lincoln 17. Ze Breno	26. Douglas Bacelar 10. Gabriel Santiago 52. Igo Gabriel (G) 9. Kayke 2. Leo Maia 78. Natan Alves 79. Reifit 77. Renan 17. Wellington Nem
Coaches
Roger Silva	Pintado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Jhony Douglas 🟨,
25', Caio Rafael 🟨,
37', Alison 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Nicolas ⚽,
41', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
45+2', Lucas Dias 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gustavo Franca ↓, Vitinho ↑,
46', Henrique ↓, Robson Duarte ↑,
46', Joao Vitor ↓, Cedric ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Iago Teles ⚽,
59', Nicolas ↓, Wellington Nem ↑,
59', Marlyson ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Lucas Marques ⚽,
68', Lucas Marques ↓, Vitor J. ↑,
69', Felipe Augusto ↓, Kayke ↑,
69', Joao Lucas ↓, Reifit ↑,
78', Iury ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
86', Mauricio Junior ↓, Rafael Soares ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Londrina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.25	Caxias - Londrina	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	Londrina - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	Confiança - Londrina	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	São Bernardo - Londrina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWTT
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.25	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
26.05.25	Guarani - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Figueirense - Ituano	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Itabaiana - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Figueirense - Caxias	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.08.24	Figueirense - Londrina	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
15.10.19	Londrina - Figueirense	0:0
19.07.19	Figueirense - Londrina	1:1
18.09.18	Londrina - Figueirense	2:0
05.06.18	Figueirense - Londrina	1:1
17.10.17	Londrina - Figueirense	1:0
27.06.17	Figueirense - Londrina	3:1

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