Match Info

Date: 3 July 2021, Saturday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	2.6	2.3
	3.35	2.75	2.23	Watch
	3.55	2.7	2.28
	3.95	2.8	2.36
	3.9	2.6	2.25
	3.55	2.86	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.98)	2.72 ↓ (3.06)	2.29 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
25.5%

Draw
34.1%

Cruzeiro
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

30.1%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.4%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
30.06.21	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
25.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.06.21	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
18.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Goiás	2:1 ✺
15.06.21	Confiança - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTLWT
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
30.06.21	Cruzeiro - Guarani	3:3 ✺
27.06.21	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
24.06.21	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
19.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
16.06.21	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.12.20	Cruzeiro - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1
02.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	1:0

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