Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 9

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	Fanatiz


	Botafogo SP		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.85	3.1	1.91
	4.27	3.43	1.91
	4.06	3.38	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.95
	4.24	3.38	1.86	Watch
	3.85	3.1	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.78)	3.27 ↑ (3.19)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
23%

Draw
28.4%

Red Bull Bragantino
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.9%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

27.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Botafogo SP - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 4. Ericson 5. Edson (C) 3. Alisson Cassiano 2. Jonathan Cafu 8. Abdulai S. 10. Maciel L. 6. Risso G. 11. Silvinho 9. Alexandre Jesus 7. Douglas Baggio	1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 31. Guilherme 35. Matheus Fernandes 6. Gabriel 17. Vinicinho 8. Lucas Evangelista 9. Pitta I. 19. Eduardo Sasha
Substitutes
24. Adriano (G) 14. Allyson 12. Brenno Klippel (G) 18. Dramisino A. 15. Jean Mangabeira 16. Jean Victor 20. Joao Costa 17. Jonas Toro 19. Pablo Thomaz 21. Ruan Pablo 13. Wallison 22. Willian Gabriel	54. Andre Cardoso 18. Borbas T. 22. Gustavo Neves 46. Henrique G. 10. Jhon Jhon 33. Laquintana I. 40. Lucao (G) 4. Lucas Cunha 30. Mosquera H. 2. Rodriguez G. 32. Sant'Anna A. 50. Vitinho
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Maciel L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silvinho ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
46', Pitta I. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
60', Gabriel ↓, Jhon Jhon ↑,
69', Alisson Cassiano 🟨,
73', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Pablo Thomaz ↑,
73', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Wallison ↑,
81', Douglas Baggio ↓, Jean Mangabeira ↑,
84', Guilherme ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
88', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Henrique G. ↑,
89', Maciel L. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

RB Bragantino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:20 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.25	Botafogo SP - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
29.01.25	Botafogo SP - Água Santa	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLTL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	1:1
12.03.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0
06.03.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0
09.05.21	Botafogo SP - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
01.08.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:1 penalties
26.07.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
08.11.19	Botafogo SP - Red Bull Bragantino	2:3

Upcoming Matches