Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 8

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Murilo V. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Botafogo SP		Velo Clube

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	2	3.2	3.8
	1.97	3.05	3.7
	1.98	3.36	4.07
	1.97	3.27	3.98	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.94	3.29	3.99	Watch
	1.97	3.05	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.13)	3.19 ↑ (3.17)	3.88 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
47.1%

Draw
29%

Velo Clube
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Botafogo SP - Velo Clube Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Velo Clube will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 4. Ericson 5. Edson 3. Alisson Cassiano 2. Jonathan Cafu 10. Maciel L. 8. Gabriel Bispo 6. Risso G. 7. Douglas Baggio 11. Pablo Thomaz 9. Alexandre Jesus	1. Pablo (G) 3. Rafael Ribeiro 5. Marcelo Augusto 4. Mancha 2. Yuri Ferraz 7. Pedro Favela 8. Leo Baiano 6. Leo Campos 10. Sillas 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Daniel Amorim
Substitutes
14. Abdulai S. 24. Adriano (G) 12. Brenno Klippel (G) 18. Dramisino A. 15. Jean Mangabeira 16. Jean Victor 13. Joao Costa 17. Jonas Toro 19. Pedro Severino 21. Ruan Pablo 20. Silvinho 22. Willian Gabriel	20. Caio Bolonhin (G) 14. Carlos Manuel 19. Cauari 12. Dalton (G) 13. Julio Vaz 18. Lucas Duni 15. Pedro Cacho 16. Rennan Siqueira 17. Vinicius Leite
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Guilherme Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Risso G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pablo Thomaz ↓, Silvinho ↑,
65', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
65', Douglas Baggio ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
65', Pedro Favela ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
65', Rafael Ribeiro ↓, Carlos Manuel ↑,
70', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
77', Yuri Ferraz 🟨,
78', Mancha 🟨,
81', Yuri Ferraz ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
82', Sillas ↓, Cauari ↑,
85', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
88', Leo Baiano ↓, Lucas Duni ↑,
90+6', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Jean Mangabeira ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 4).

Recent matches Bakersfield is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chicago is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bakersfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bakersfield have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bakersfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:24 (average 3.2:4.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bakersfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 3:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.02.25	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
29.01.25	Botafogo SP - Água Santa	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTLT
- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.25	Velo Clube - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Velo Clube - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Velo Clube - Santos	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
19.10.21	Botafogo SP - Velo Clube	2:0

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