Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 2

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Misson Junior M. F. (Bra)


	Botafogo SP		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.3
	2.14	3.1	3.4
	2.26	3.15	3.65
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.13	3.22	3.6	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.59)	3.08 ↑ (2.97)	3.43 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
42.5%

Draw
30.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo SP - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo SP will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Pimentinha (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
15.04.23	Juventude - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	Botafogo SP - Santos	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.03.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.03.23	Botafogo SP - São Raimundo PR	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
15.04.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Sergipe - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
12.03.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.03.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Campinense	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.01.21	Botafogo SP - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
11.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo SP	2:0

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