Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 10

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Lopez D. (Bra)


	Botafogo SP		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.7
	2.04	3.15	3.6
	2.03	3.4	4.06
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	1.99	3.34	3.92	Watch
	2.03	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.94)	3.21 ↑ (3.09)	3.8 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
46.3%

Draw
29.1%

Tombense
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Botafogo SP - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo SP will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Thassio 3. Carlinhos 4. Diogo Silva 6. Patrick Brey 5. Guilherme Madruga 8. Tarik 7. Robinho 10. Osman 11. Lucas Cardoso 9. Salatiel	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Augusto 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Emerson 8. Joao Pedro 5. Bruno Silva 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Jaderson 11. Kevin 9. Daniel Amorim
Substitutes
18. Andrade T. 15. Carlos Manuel 17. Edson Carioca 13. Guilherme Mantuan 20. Gustavo Xuxa 16. Jean 19. Joao Veras 21. Luiz Henrique 14. Marcio Silva 12. Matheus Albino (G) 23. Pedro Rodrigues 22. Vidal	16. Egidio 12. Leo Lang (G) 13. Luis Felipe 20. Luiz Fernando 17. Marcelinho 18. Pierre 19. Rhayner 14. Wesley 15. Wisney
Coaches
Adilson Batista	Marcelo Chamusca

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 2.

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tombense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Botafogo SP is a favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Ericson (Injury) Fillipe Soutto (Injury) Lucas Dias (Injury)

There will not play in Tombense: Keke (Injury) Kleiton (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
27.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
23.05.23	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
14.05.23	ABC - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.05.23	Tombense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
23.05.23	ABC - Tombense	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Tombense - Londrina	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Ceará - Tombense	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Sport Recife - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.08.18	Tombense - Botafogo SP	0:0
10.06.18	Botafogo SP - Tombense	1:0
02.09.17	Tombense - Botafogo SP	2:1
02.07.17	Botafogo SP - Tombense	0:0
10.09.16	Botafogo SP - Tombense	1:0
10.07.16	Tombense - Botafogo SP	3:1

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