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Current Win Probability
Boulogne 32.1%
Draw 29.6%
Dunkerque 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
29.6%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
29%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
30%
30%
Boulogne - Dunkerque Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Noukeu B. (G) 18. Thiam D. 25. Gourville S. (C) 15. Pinot A. 12. Boyer J. 90. Martin J. 10. El Farissi A. 19. Binet N. 22. Duflos S. 23. Fatar N. 9. Lecolier M.
1. Lavin M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Sasso V. 22. Mayela V. 6. Diong P. 10. Essimi M. 2. Georgen A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
14. Bultel J. 3. Burlet V. 17. Fatou C. 16. Kone I. (G) 28. Paillard S. 21. Platret A. 5. Zohore N.
11. Daho A. 19. Kante A. 42. Makhloufi M. 87. Massock T. 57. Seha Z. 36. Sissokho M. (G) 7. Sylvestre E.
Coaches
Dagneaux F.
Sanchez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Pinot A. ⚽, Fatar N. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Robinet T. ⚽, Bardeli E. (A),
17', Linguet A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Sasso V. ⚽, Essimi M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
50', Fatar N. 🟨,
64', 1 - 3, Sasso V. ⚽,
65', Zossou A. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
67', Thiam D. 🟥,
72', 2 - 3, Lecolier M. ⚽, Binet N. (A),
73', El Farissi A. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
73', Duflos S. ↓, Zohore N. ↑,
74', Boyer J. ↓, Burlet V. ↑,
74', Lecolier M. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
77', Essimi M. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
78', Linguet A. ↓, Massock T. ↑,
81', 2 - 4, Robinet T. ⚽, Massock T. (A),
82', Fatar N. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
86', Bardeli E. ↓, Makhloufi M. ↑,
87', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 5, Massock T. ⚽, Seha Z. (A),
90+3', 2 - 6, Makhloufi M. ⚽, Diong P. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1.
In recent matches, Boulogne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dunkerque has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Boulogne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Boulogne: Capuano G.
(Inactive)
Moco Z.
(Inactive)
Platret A.
(Inactive)
Siliadin L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Knee Injury)
Diong P.
(Inactive)
Diop M.
(Inactive)
Doucet L.
(Yellow Cards)
Lagae B.
(Inactive)
Sekongo A.
(Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now
Dunkerque: 0.75% Boulogne: 0.42%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Dunkerque
7
2
2
3
10:12
-2
8
17
Boulogne
7
0
5
2
3:5
-2
5
Last Results with these Odds
Boulogne - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.