The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troyes 49.6%
Draw 27.4%
Dunkerque 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
27.8%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
27.1%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troyes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
0%
13.3%
Troyes - Dunkerque Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Troyes (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Troyes will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 38. Diawara S. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 29. Diawara K. 5. Adeline M. 17. Mille A. 11. Detourbet M. 21. Bentayeb T.
60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 22. Mayela V. 4. Lagae B. 6. Diong P. 69. Bokele Mputu M. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
7. Chavalerin X. 9. El Idrissy M. 23. Gambor H. 33. Nkoumouck M. (G) 3. Ouzenadji A. 20. Ripart R. 44. Titi Y.
11. Daho A. 15. Doucet L. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 42. Makhloufi M. 57. Seha Z. 7. Sylvestre E.
Coaches
Dumont S.
Sanchez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Adeline M. ⚽, Diawara K. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Bokele Mputu M. ⚽, Sekongo A. (A),
24', Zossou A. 🟥,
38', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
43', Diong P. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Bentayeb T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
75', 3 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
76', Lagae B. ↓, Makhloufi M. ↑,
76', Sekongo A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
77', Bardeli E. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
77', Kante A. 🟨,
78', Maronnier L. ↓, Titi Y. ↑,
79', Adeline M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
82', Linguet A. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Ripart R. ⚽, Detourbet M. (A),
88', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
89', Diawara K. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
89', Mille A. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,
90+4', 5 - 1, El Idrissy M. ⚽, Titi Y. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.
Troyes has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dunkerque has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Troyes is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Troyes: Boucher Z.
(Inactive)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Ifnaoui M.
(Injury)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Phliponeau A.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Daho A.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Troyes: Monfray A.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now
Dunkerque: 0.75%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Dunkerque
7
2
2
3
10:12
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Dunkerque - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Andorra
Asia
Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Israel
Japan
Netherlands
Norway
Serbia
Slovakia
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
Ukraine
Usa
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Konate H. (G) 
Maronnier L. 
Boura I. 
Diop M. 
Diawara K. 
Bentayeb T. 
Sangante O. (C) 
Lagae B. 
Bokele Mputu M. 
Sekongo A. 
Gambor H. 
Kante A. 
Lavin M. (G) 
