Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.35	5.3	Watch
	1.5	4.66	6.08
	1.51	4.54	5.54	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.49	4.45	5.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	4.35 ↑ (4.14)	5.54 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
61.9%

Draw
21.3%

Dunkerque
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saint Étienne - Dunkerque Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 39. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 20. Boakye A. 14. Kante A. 7. Cardona I. 29. Moueffek A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Stassin L.	60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Sasso V. 22. Mayela V. 2. Georgen A. 15. Doucet L. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 69. Bokele Mputu M. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
19. Annan E. 8. Appiah D. 17. Duffus J. 5. Jaber M. 15. Lamba C. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I.	11. Daho A. 10. Essimi M. 19. Kante A. 4. Lagae B. 1. Lavin M. (G) 42. Makhloufi M. 87. Massock T.
Coaches
Montanier P.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Boakye A. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Doucet L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Boakye A. ↓, Jaber M. ↑,
64', Kante A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
64', Moueffek A. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Jaber M. (A),
67', Doucet L. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
71', Jaber M. 🟨,
77', Sekongo A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
77', Robinet T. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
77', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Massock T. ↑,
81', Cardona I. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
82', Sangante O. 🟨,
87', Mayela V. ↓, Makhloufi M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 10).

Saint-Étienne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dunkerque is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Saint-Étienne is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Knee Injury) El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Broken Hand) Jaber M. (Muscle Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Soumahoro A. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Knee Injury) Daho A. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Essimi M. (Knock) Zossou A. (Red Card)

We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Dunkerque: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
04.04.26	Nancy - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Red Star	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pau - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTWW
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
03.04.26	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Troyes - Dunkerque	5:1 ✺
14.03.26	Red Star - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Dunkerque - Reims	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Clermont - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.12.25	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0
03.02.24	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0
04.10.23	Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque	2:0

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