Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bourj		Shabab Baalbeck

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6.8	Watch
	1.39	4.15	6.69
	1.43	4.15	6.85	Watch
	1.46	4.17	6.78	Watch
	1.42	4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.09 ↑ (4)	6.78 ↓ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourj
64.2%

Draw
22.3%

Shabab Baalbeck
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.6%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

21.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shabab Baalbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Baalbeck than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Bourj - Shabab Baalbeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Kowaya M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 2, Al Outa H. (Pen),

Preview

Bourj has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shabab Baalbeck has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).

Recently, Bourj had a set of home games.

In this match, Bourj is the certain favorite.

We predict that Bourj will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Bourj won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bourj FC
Lebanese Premier League
24.04.25	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Bourj	1:4 ✺
19.04.25	Bourj - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bourj - Nejmeh	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWWWT
- Shabab Baalbeck
Lebanese Premier League
25.04.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Baalbeck	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Baalbeck	5:0 ✺
15.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Tadamon Sour	0:4 ✺
09.03.25	Shabab Baalbeck - Hekmeh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Cup
22.03.24	Shabab Baalbeck - Bourj	0:3

Bourj - Shabab Baalbeck: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide