Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Premier League
Albania	13:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	21:30	Stan Sport
Austria	13:30	Laola1, Sky Go Austria
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Colombia	06:30	ESPN
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	14:30	Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	13:30	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	13:30	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	14:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	13:30	CANAL+ Sport
Germany	13:30	Laola1, Sky Go Germany
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hungary	13:30	TV2 Play Premium
India	17:00	JioStar, JioTV app
Israel	14:30	Sport 1
Italy	13:30	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K
Malaysia	19:30	Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League
Malta	13:30	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	05:30	TNT Sports
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	13:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	13:30	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Korea	20:30	Coupang Play
Spain	13:30	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Amazon Prime Video
Turkey	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	14:30	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	12:30	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	NBC Universo, NBC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN


	Newcastle United		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25
	2.05	3.75	3.25
	2.12	3.6	3.3
	2.18	3.72	3.38
	2.2	3.81	3.2	Watch
	2.14	3.7	3.3
	2.13	3.59	3.55	Watch
	2.21	3.65	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.31)	3.67 ↑ (3.63)	3.32 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
44.8%

Draw
26.2%

Bournemouth
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	21.1%	15.8%

Newcastle United - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 47.9% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Newcastle (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Bournemouth (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 75%). Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hornicek L. (G) 37. Dedic A. 12. Thiaw M. (C) 4. Botman S. 3. Hall L. 6. Nico 67. Miley L. 19. Elanga A. 28. Willock J. 11. Barnes H. 9. Wissa Y.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 5. Hill J. 14. Silva A. 3. Truffert A. 12. Adams T. 8. Scott A. 37. Rayan 19. Kluivert J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
8. Bamba A. 20. Fernandez-Pardo M. 2. Livramento V. 23. Murphy J. 1. Pope N. (G) 41. Ramsey J. 5. Schar F. 14. Steur S. 17. Toure B.	7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 20. Di Gregorio M. (G) 11. Gannon-Doak B. 29. Jebbison D. 24. Sanchez J. 6. Soler J.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Tavernier M. ⚽,
28', Elanga A. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Thiaw M. (Own goal),
37', 1 - 2, Barnes H. ⚽, Hall L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Wissa Y. 🟨,
63', Willock J. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
63', Miley L. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
66', Kluivert J. 🟨,
76', Kluivert J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
76', Adams T. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
77', Nico ↓, Steur S. ↑,
78', Elanga A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
87', Truffert A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Ramsey J. ⚽,
89', Tavernier M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
89', Rayan ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,
90', Hall L. ↓, Livramento V. ↑,
90+4', Smith A. 🟨,
90+6', Scott A. ↓, Christie R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Newcastle: Burn D. (Ankle Injury) Joelinton (Injury) Osula W. (Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adli A. (Injury) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Livramento V. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Newcastle	8	3	2	3	12:14	-2	11
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12:13	-1	9

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Bournemouth: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Newcastle United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Bournemouth - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
29.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Newcastle United - West Bromwich Albion	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
23.08.26	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Newcastle United - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Newcastle United - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTTL
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
29.08.26	Bournemouth - Everton	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Manchester City - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Mainz - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Betis - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
04.08.26	Bournemouth - Genoa	10:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.04.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:2
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	4:3 penalties
English Premier League
21.09.25	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	0:0
18.01.25	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:4
25.08.24	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	1:1
17.02.24	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2
11.11.23	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	2:0

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