Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Boyacá Chicó		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.9	Watch
	4.45	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.87	3.23	1.87
	4.68	3.26	1.84	Watch
	4.5	3	1.85
	4.72	3.18	1.84	Watch
	5	3	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (5.47)	3.16 ↓ (3.39)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
19.9%

Draw
29.7%

Independiente Santa Fe
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

27.4%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 24. Banguero A. 25. Palma J. 3. Quiceno J. 28. Diaz J. 6. Aedo A. 20. Valencia N. 15. Romana J. 10. Mena J. 17. Caicedo O. 9. Molina J.	1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 21. Murillo E. 16. Torres D. 14. Palacios L. 10. Zapata A. 8. Fernandez O. 11. Rodallega H.
Substitutes
5. Arroyo F. 18. Cabrera Y. 14. Campo Chara J. A. 23. Denis D. (G) 30. Gomez M. 13. Martinez Y. 7. Montano I. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 8. Salazar S.	12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 9. Fagundez F. 40. Palacios M. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 5. Toscano Bassa K. D. 20. Velasquez Y.
Coaches
Torres F.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Palma J. 🟨,
39', Palacios L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caicedo O. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
46', Quiceno J. ↓, Martinez Y. ↑,
46', Romana J. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
46', Palacios L. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
52', Zapata A. 🟨,
55', Zapata A. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
55', Torres D. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
76', Fernandez O. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
79', Diaz J. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
83', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,
84', Mafla C. 🟨,
85', Montano I. 🟨,
85', Caicedo Vasquez R. A. 🟨,
88', Valencia N. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 1, Olivera E. ⚽, Bustos N. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 0.

Santa Fe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	10:18	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
28.01.26	Alianza Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Boyacá Chicó - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Atlético Nacional - Boyacá Chicó	4:0 ✺
12.11.25	Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alianza Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLLL
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
28.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Colombian Super Cup
21.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
Colombian Super Cup
15.01.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
17.10.25	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0
27.04.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
10.10.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	3:1
26.02.24	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
13.09.23	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
31.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	1:0
24.02.21	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	2:0

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