Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Rivera H. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Independiente Santa Fe		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	1.38	4	10	Watch
	1.37	4.25	9.3	Watch
	1.37	4.38	10.49
	1.37	4.35	9.72	Watch
	1.36	4	9
	1.37	4.15	9.7	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	4.19 ↓ (4.7)	9.53 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
67.9%

Draw
22.3%

Deportivo Pereira
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 16. Torres D. 21. Murillo E. 14. Palacios L. 11. Rodallega H. 22. Mosquera E. 19. Bustos N.	12. Martinez J. (G) 21. Pacheco W. 3. Rengifo N. 15. Aguilar S. 4. Bazan J. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 19. Aguirre M. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 10. Acosta S. 18. Perez M. 88. Quinones Y.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 9. Fagundez F. 40. Palacios M. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 7. Torres J. 20. Velasquez Y. 10. Zapata A.	32. Alzate S. 31. Calderon A. 14. Moreno E. 37. Moreno L. 34. Mosquera J. 24. Palacios M. 40. Rodriguez J. 17. Torres G. 33. Zuluaga S. (G)
Coaches
Repetto P.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Perez M. 🟨,
17', Pacheco W. 🟨,
33', Acosta S. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
37', Moreno E. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽, Pacheco W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Moreno V. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Quinones Y. ⚽,
57', Torres D. 🟨,
58', Murillo E. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
58', Bustos N. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
61', Mosquera E. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Mafla C. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
67', 2 - 2, Mosquera E. ⚽, Moreno V. (A),
70', Fagundez F. 🟨,
72', Quinones Y. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
73', Perez M. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
75', Palacios L. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
79', Mosquera E. 🟨,
84', Pacheco W. 🟨,
90', Olivera E. 🟨,
90+3', Torres D. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
90+3', Moreno V. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
90+7', Aguirre M. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.

Recent performances by Santa Fe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santa Fe is the clear favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
25.01.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Colombian Super Cup
21.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
Colombian Super Cup
15.01.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.12.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWTTT
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
24.01.26	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros SA	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pereira	4:0 ✺
27.10.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	4:0 ✺
24.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
13.07.25	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2
26.01.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira	2:1
03.10.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira	1:1
17.02.24	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0
Colombian Copa
04.10.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0
27.09.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira	0:0
Colombian Primera A
24.09.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira	1:0

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