The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boyacá Chicó 41.8%
Draw 31.2%
Patriotas 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
28.1%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
27.4%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boyacá Chicó's form might have worsened.
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patriotas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boyacá Chicó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patriotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
71.4%
0%
Boyacá Chicó - Patriotas Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Soto V. (G) 22. Murillo D. 16. Castano J. 4. Plazas H. 14. Banguero E. 8. Tamara S. 19. Lozano F. 21. Pena A. 10. Balanta G. 7. Cruz W. 11. Cortes J.
32. Valencia J. (G) 15. Roa S. 29. Ayala J. 5. Rodas M. 25. De Las Salas C. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 6. Diaz J. 4. Alarcon A. 20. Ruiz D. 30. Rivas I. 19. Martinez C.
Substitutes
1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 18. Chara A. 30. Gomez M. 17. Lucumi J. 2. Mejia Cabezas A. 9. Perez J. 24. Talero D.
12. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 8. Castano C. 17. Charris C. 2. Pezzi A. 27. Sarria E. 35. Torres F.
Coaches
Gomez J.
Rivera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Balanta G. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Pena A. ⚽,
18', Valencia J. 🟨,
30', Lozano F. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, De Las Salas C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Cortes J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
69', Martinez C. ↓, Sarria E. ↑,
80', Pena A. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Rivas I. ⚽, Sarria E. (A),
85', Roa S. ↓, Charris C. ↑,
85', Balanta G. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
85', Rivas I. ↓, Pezzi A. ↑,
90+5', Rodas M. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 20).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Boyacá Chicó could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Boyacá Chicó will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Boyacá Chicó won 2 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Boyacá Chicó won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.