Match Info

FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.8	3.8
	1.82	3.55	3.95
	1.84	3.74	4.22
	1.76	3.95	4.03	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.84	3.81	3.81	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.45)	3.74 ↓ (4.32)	3.97 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Port Vale
51.7%

Draw
24.9%

Bristol Rovers
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

19.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Port Vale - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 24. Kyle John 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. 3. Headley J. 33. Hall G. 14. Ojo F. 7. Byers G. (C) 19. Waine B. 44. Cole D. 17. Paton R.	1. Southwood L. (G) 28. Negru S. 12. Lockyer T. (C) 6. Mola C. 4. Moore T. 14. Cotterill J. 22. Conteh K. 29. Cavegn F. 27. Bilongo B. 11. Thomas L. 19. Harrison E.
Substitutes
10. Brown D. 18. Croasdale R. 11. Curtis R. 22. Debrah J. 36. Faal M. 46. Gauci J. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 9. Stockley J. 12. Walters R.	43. Dewsbury O. 7. Forde S. 25. Howley R. 30. Issaka F. 35. Lopata K. 20. McEachran J. 39. Morton C. 3. Sparkes J. 13. Young B. (G)
Coaches
Moore D.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Lockyer T. 🟨,
26', Hall G. 🟨,
26', Paton R. 🟨,
26', Conteh K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Waine B. ⚽, Hall C. (A),
51', Bilongo B. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
51', Negru S. ↓, Lopata K. ↑,
63', Cotterill J. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
63', Thomas L. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
73', Waine B. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
73', Paton R. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
78', Harrison E. ↓, Morton C. ↑,
83', Moore T. 🟨,
86', Hall G. ↓, Brown D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.

Recent form of Port Vale has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bristol Rovers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.

In this match, Port Vale is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Port Vale - Barnsley	5:0 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Lincoln City - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Port Vale - Fleetwood Town	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTL
- Bristol Rovers
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Notts County	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.03.24	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	2:0
03.10.23	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	3:0
22.04.23	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	2:0
10.12.22	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	1:0
English League Two
18.04.22	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	1:3
07.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	1:2
English EFL Trophy
22.01.19	Bristol Rovers - Port Vale	3:0

Upcoming Matches