Match Info

League One - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 7
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	22:00	Exxen
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Bolton Wanderers		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.35	4.25	Watch
	1.89	3.48	4.65
	1.96	3.27	4.05	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.33
	1.84	3.4	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	4.29 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
50.6%

Draw
27.6%

Bradford City
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonham J. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 8. Sheehan J. 21. Erhahon E. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 27. Rodrigues R. 20. Cissoko I. 48. Burstow M.	1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 4. Wright J. 26. Tilt C. 7. Neufville J. 21. Metcalfe J. 6. Power M. (C) 3. Touray I. 32. Lapslie G. 10. Sarcevic A. 19. Jackson K.
Substitutes
29. Christie C. 25. Conway M. 10. Dalby S. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 45. McAtee J. 4. Simons X.	25. Hilton J. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 18. Kelly C. 28. Pennington M. 22. Powell N. 24. Swan W. 17. Wright T.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Neufville J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Cissoko I. (A),
67', Lapslie G. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
71', Erhahon E. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
80', Jackson K. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
81', Rodrigues R. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
81', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
89', Cissoko I. 🟨,
90+5', Cissoko I. ↓, Conway M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Bolton is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C. (Thigh Injury) Forss M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Bolton: Dalby S. (Inactive) Erhahon E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Pointon B. (Injury) Wright T. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bradford City	12	6	4	2	10:5	5	22

Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 8.36%

Last Results with these Odds

Bolton Wanderers - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.13%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
02.05.26	Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bolton Wanderers - Huddersfield Town	3:3 ✺
14.04.26	Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	5:1 ✺
11.04.26	Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTWL
- Bradford City
English League One
02.05.26	Exeter City - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Bradford City - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Barnsley - Bradford City	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.04.26	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	3:0
English League One
22.11.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	0:0
English League Two
06.03.21	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
27.10.20	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	1:0
English League Cup
05.09.20	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	1:2
English EFL Trophy
03.09.19	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	1:2 penalties

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