What is the expert prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Bradford City?

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Bolton Wanderers vs Bradford City Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, May 09, 2026)

Match Info

League One - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Bolton Wanderers		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.35	4.25	Watch
	1.89	3.48	4.65
	1.96	3.27	4.05	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.33
	1.84	3.4	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	4.29 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
50.6%

Draw
27.6%

Bradford City
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonham J. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 8. Sheehan J. 21. Erhahon E. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 27. Rodrigues R. 20. Cissoko I. 48. Burstow M.	1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 4. Wright J. 26. Tilt C. 7. Neufville J. 21. Metcalfe J. 6. Power M. (C) 3. Touray I. 32. Lapslie G. 10. Sarcevic A. 19. Jackson K.
Substitutes
29. Christie C. 25. Conway M. 10. Dalby S. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 45. McAtee J. 4. Simons X.	25. Hilton J. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 18. Kelly C. 28. Pennington M. 22. Powell N. 24. Swan W. 17. Wright T.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Neufville J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Cissoko I. (A),
67', Lapslie G. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
71', Erhahon E. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
80', Jackson K. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
81', Rodrigues R. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
81', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
89', Cissoko I. 🟨,
90+5', Cissoko I. ↓, Conway M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Bolton is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C. (Thigh Injury) Forss M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Bolton: Dalby S. (Inactive) Erhahon E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Pointon B. (Injury) Wright T. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

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Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 6.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bradford City	5	3	0	2	5:4	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Bolton Wanderers - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.13%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
02.05.26	Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bolton Wanderers - Huddersfield Town	3:3 ✺
14.04.26	Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	5:1 ✺
11.04.26	Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTWL
- Bradford City
English League One
02.05.26	Exeter City - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Bradford City - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Barnsley - Bradford City	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.04.26	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	3:0
English League One
22.11.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	0:0
English League Two
06.03.21	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
27.10.20	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	1:0
English League Cup
05.09.20	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	1:2
English EFL Trophy
03.09.19	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	1:2 penalties

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