Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	1.31	5	6.75
	1.32	4.5	7.5
	1.33	5	7
	1.32	4.7	8.43
	1.32	4.6	8
	1.3	5.2	7.6
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	4.86 ↑ (3.9)	7.47 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
69.1%

Draw
18.7%

Kettering Town
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

21.9%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	5.9%	35.3%

Darlington - Kettering Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Darlington will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Kettering will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darlington: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darlington is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kettering is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Darlington is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Darlington to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Darlington won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
26.11.22	Hereford - Darlington	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Darlington - Alfreton Town	4:1 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Darlington - Fylde	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Darlington - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWW
- Kettering Town
English National League North
26.11.22	Kettering Town - Southport	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Chorley - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Kettering Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.01.22	Darlington - Kettering Town	0:1
06.11.21	Kettering Town - Darlington	1:3
10.08.19	Darlington - Kettering Town	3:0

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