Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	BSAD		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.82
				Watch
	4.1	3.35	1.89
	4.5	3.52	1.85
	4.6	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.75	3.42	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (4.63)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
21.2%

Draw
27.8%

Estoril Praia
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

27.4%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

16.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BSAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estoril Praia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.6%	8.4%	84%

BSAD - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: Estoril Praia will win (100 of 119 users predict this - 84.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.45% – 90.61%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (22.29%), has project points - 31, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Estoril has the most likely position - 6 (16.74%), has project points - 47, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Liga Portugal
27.11.21	BSAD - Benfica	0:7 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.21	Caldas - BSAD	3:5 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.11.21	Portimonense - BSAD	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	BSAD - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
25.10.21	Boavista - BSAD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWT
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
05.12.21	Braga - Estoril Praia	2:0 ✺
29.11.21	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.21	Serpa - Estoril Praia	0:5 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.11.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
17.02.18	Estoril Praia - BSAD	0:2
17.09.17	BSAD - Estoril Praia	2:1
Club Friendly
02.08.17	BSAD - Estoril Praia	0:1
Liga Portugal
14.04.17	BSAD - Estoril Praia	1:3
04.12.16	Estoril Praia - BSAD	1:1
14.05.16	BSAD - Estoril Praia	2:1
10.01.16	Estoril Praia - BSAD	2:0

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