The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BSAD 4.3%
Draw 10.6%
Benfica 85.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
7.9%
17.1%
75%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14%
14%
72.1%
BSAD - Benfica Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 6 - 14%). Benfica will win (votes: 31 - 72.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 58.7% – 85.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (21.92%), has project points - 31, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Benfica has the most likely position - 3 (33.21%), has project points - 77, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (95%), has a chance of win league (28%).
Belenenses is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Benfica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Belenenses have a series of guest games.
In this match Benfica is certain favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 8-45.
Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-16.
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