Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Braga		Napoli

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.75
	4.45	4.1	1.75	Watch
	4.25	4	1.77
	4.42	4.08	1.8
	4	3.6	1.67
	4.4	4.1	1.73
	4.3	4.1	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (4.02)	4 ↑ (3.73)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDNxtra 2

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Current Win Probability

Braga
22.1%

Draw
23.7%

Napoli
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.2%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.9%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.5%	10.6%	85.9%

Braga - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (73 of 85 users predict this - 85.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.48% – 93.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Magalhaes (G) 2. Gomez V. 6. Fonte J. 4. Niakate S. 26. Borja C. 18. Vitor Carvalho 21. Horta R. (C) 8. Al Musrati 14. Djalo A. 9. Ruiz A. 7. Bruma	1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 5. Juan Jesus 17. Olivera M. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 20. Zielinski P. 21. Politano M. 9. Osimhen V. 77. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
23. Banza S. 88. Castro A. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 19. Marin A. 17. Mendes J. 28. Moutinho J. 15. Oliveira P. 22. Pizzi 20. Rony Lopes 5. Saatci S. 16. Zalazar R.	14. Contini N. (G) 7. Elmas E. 70. Gaetano G. 16. Idasiak H. (G) 29. Lindstrom J. 3. Natan 55. Ostigard L. 81. Raspadori G. 6. Rui M. 18. Simeone G. 59. Zanoli A. 23. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Garcia R.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Napoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Napoli is a favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Demme D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Gollini P. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
16.09.23	Farense - Braga	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Moreirense - Braga	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.08.23	Panathinaikos - Braga	0:1 ✺
23.08.23	Braga - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWW
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
16.09.23	Genoa - Napoli	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Napoli - Lazio	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Napoli - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Frosinone - Napoli	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.23	Napoli - Apollon Limassol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.08.12	Napoli - Braga	N/A

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