Match Info

Serie A - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	00:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	12:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Arena 4
Indonesia	23:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	Sport 3
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	23:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	17:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:00	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	21:00	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	23:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	16:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Napoli		Lazio

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7	Watch
	1.55	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.54	4.15	7.45
	1.52	4.21	7.44	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6.5
	1.55	4.05	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	4.02 ↑ (3.73)	7.07 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
62.6%

Draw
23.9%

Lazio
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61%	22%	17.1%

Napoli - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 24 - 60%). Lazio will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 44.8% – 75.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 50%). Lazio (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Lazio (4.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lazio (6.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 4. Buongiorno A. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. (C) 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 37. Spinazzola L. 11. De Bruyne K. 8. McTominay S. 19. Hojlund R.	40. Motta E. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 13. Romagnoli A. 34. Gila M. 17. Tavares N. 26. Basic T. 32. Cataldi D. 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 14. Noslin T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
27. Alisson Santos 14. Contini N. (G) 20. Elmas E. 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 5. Juan Jesus 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 13. Rrahmani A.	21. Belahyane R. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 99. Giacomone G. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 27. Maldini D. 72. Pannozzo N. (G) 4. Patric 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 25. Provstgaard O. 28. Przyborek A. 20. Ratkov P.
Coaches
Conte A.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Cancellieri M. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
29', Lobotka S. 🟨,
31', Zaccagni M. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Cataldi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Bruyne K. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
46', Anguissa F. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Basic T. ⚽, Cancellieri M. (A),
60', Taylor K. 🟨,
61', Cataldi D. ↓, Patric ↑,
61', Zaccagni M. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
61', Gila M. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
63', Lobotka S. ↓, Giovane ↑,
63', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
71', Basic T. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
72', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
82', Lazzari M. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
90+1', Dia B. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 1.

Napoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lazio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Napoli is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Marusic A. (Muscle Injury) Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury) Rovella N. (Broken collarbone)

We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	15	25
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 5.06% Napoli: 1.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Napoli - Torino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
13.04.26	Fiorentina - Lazio	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2
15.02.25	Lazio - Napoli	2:2
08.12.24	Napoli - Lazio	0:1
Coppa Italia
05.12.24	Lazio - Napoli	3:1
Italian Serie A
28.01.24	Lazio - Napoli	0:0
02.09.23	Napoli - Lazio	1:2
03.03.23	Napoli - Lazio	0:1

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