Match Info

Serie A - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Napoli		Lazio

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7	Watch
	1.55	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.54	4.15	7.45
	1.52	4.21	7.44	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6.5
	1.55	4.05	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	4.02 ↑ (3.73)	7.07 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
62.6%

Draw
23.9%

Lazio
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61%	22%	17.1%

Napoli - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 24 - 60%). Lazio will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 44.8% – 75.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 50%). Lazio (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Lazio (4.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lazio (6.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 4. Buongiorno A. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. (C) 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 37. Spinazzola L. 11. De Bruyne K. 8. McTominay S. 19. Hojlund R.	40. Motta E. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 13. Romagnoli A. 34. Gila M. 17. Tavares N. 26. Basic T. 32. Cataldi D. 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 14. Noslin T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
27. Alisson Santos 14. Contini N. (G) 20. Elmas E. 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 5. Juan Jesus 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G) 13. Rrahmani A.	21. Belahyane R. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 99. Giacomone G. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 27. Maldini D. 72. Pannozzo N. (G) 4. Patric 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 25. Provstgaard O. 28. Przyborek A. 20. Ratkov P.
Coaches
Conte A.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Cancellieri M. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
29', Lobotka S. 🟨,
31', Zaccagni M. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Cataldi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Bruyne K. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
46', Anguissa F. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Basic T. ⚽, Cancellieri M. (A),
60', Taylor K. 🟨,
61', Cataldi D. ↓, Patric ↑,
61', Zaccagni M. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
61', Gila M. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
63', Lobotka S. ↓, Giovane ↑,
63', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
71', Basic T. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
72', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
82', Lazzari M. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
90+1', Dia B. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 1.

Napoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lazio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Napoli is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Marusic A. (Muscle Injury) Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury) Rovella N. (Broken collarbone)

We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.77% Lazio: 0.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Napoli - Torino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
13.04.26	Fiorentina - Lazio	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Lazio - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2
15.02.25	Lazio - Napoli	2:2
08.12.24	Napoli - Lazio	0:1
Coppa Italia
05.12.24	Lazio - Napoli	3:1
Italian Serie A
28.01.24	Lazio - Napoli	0:0
02.09.23	Napoli - Lazio	1:2
03.03.23	Napoli - Lazio	0:1

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