Match Info

Serie A - Round 21

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	12:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2, Sport 2
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Arena 2, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	18:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Poland	18:00	CANAL+ Poland, Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	00:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	17:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Napoli		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.44	4.25	8.3	Watch
	1.51	4.42	7.1	Watch
	1.4	4	8
	1.47	4.41	8.13
	1.48	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4.24 ↓ (4.25)	8.01 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
65.6%

Draw
22.5%

Sassuolo
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

22.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

21.2%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.6%	18.4%	2%

Napoli - Sassuolo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Napoli (1.77) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +1.25 - Sassuolo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (38 of 48 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.68% – 90.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 13. Rrahmani A. 5. Juan Jesus 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A. 19. Hojlund R. 20. Elmas E.	49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 35. Lipani L. 18. Matic N. (C) 40. Vranckx A. 20. Fadera A. 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
69. Ambrosino G. 4. Buongiorno A. 14. Contini N. (G) 25. Ferrante M. (G) 3. Gutierrez M. 70. Lang N. 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M.	9. Cheddira W. 25. Coulibaly W. 33. Frangella C. 44. Iannoni E. 24. Moro L. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 19. Romagna F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 14. Skjellerup L. 13. Turati S. (G) 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
Stellini C.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lobotka S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Vranckx A. 🟨,
54', Vranckx A. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
56', Elmas E. ↓, Politano M. ↑,
57', Beukema S. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
62', Vergara A. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
64', Grosso F. 🟨,
67', Rrahmani A. ↓, Buongiorno A. ↑,
81', Doig J. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
81', Fadera A. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
84', Iannoni E. 🟨,
89', Pinamonti A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
89', Lipani L. ↓, Moro L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 5.

Napoli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sassuolo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Cande F. (Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Shoulder Injury) Volpato C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Meret A. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:19. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:6. (average 2.5:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 1.1% Sassuolo: 0.18%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Napoli - Verona	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Cremonese - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTWW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
10.01.26	Roma - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bologna - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sassuolo - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.08.25	Sassuolo - Napoli	0:2
28.02.24	Sassuolo - Napoli	1:6
27.08.23	Napoli - Sassuolo	2:0
17.02.23	Sassuolo - Napoli	0:2
29.10.22	Napoli - Sassuolo	4:0
30.04.22	Napoli - Sassuolo	6:1
01.12.21	Sassuolo - Napoli	2:2

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