Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sport TV Africa, ZAP
Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
World	Disney+


	Farense		Braga

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.95	Watch
	4	3.3	1.9
	4	3.6	1.9	Watch
	4.68	3.43	1.87
	4.02	3.4	1.97	Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.08	3.6	1.97	Watch
	4	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.3)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Farense
23.5%

Draw
27.5%

Braga
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.3%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

25.9%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	9.1%	86.4%

Farense - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Velho R. (C) 28. Pastor 3. Moreno M. 29. Claudio Falcao 31. Derick Poloni 20. Rony Lopes 6. Neto 8. Ze Carlos 10. Njie Y. 19. Costa R. 9. Tomane	91. Hornicek L. (G) 2. Gomez V. 15. Oliveira P. 3. Robson Bambu 55. Chissumba 8. Moutinho J. 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 16. Zalazar R. 21. Horta R. (C) 39. Navarro F.
Substitutes
7. Balde E. 4. Jorge A. 1. Kaique Pereira (G) 77. Matias M. 93. Menino M. 2. Paulo Victor 14. Poveda D. 5. Ribeiro T. 21. Soares F.	78. Carvalho J. (G) 9. El Ouazzani A. 13. Ferreira J. 79. Furtado R. 19. Marin A. 4. Niakate S. 10. Racic U. 50. Rodrigues D. 95. Vidigal S.
Coaches
Marreco T.	Carvalhal C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gorby ↓, Racic U. ↑,
56', Robson Bambu 🟨,
58', Njie Y. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
66', Robson Bambu ↓, Niakate S. ↑,
66', Zalazar R. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
67', Costa R. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
72', Pastor 🟨,
77', Neto ↓, Soares F. ↑,
77', Derick Poloni ↓, Menino M. ↑,
77', Pastor ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
86', Horta R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
90+4', Soares F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.

Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Braga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Braga is a favorite.

There will not play in Farense: Neto (Injury)

There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R. (Thigh Injury) Sa T. (Red Card) Vitor Carvalho (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Niakate S. (Muscle Injury) Zalazar R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
08.03.25	Estoril Praia - Farense	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Farense - AVS	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Arouca - Farense	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Farense - Porto	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Farense - Nacional	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTLL
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
08.03.25	Braga - Porto	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Rio Ave - Braga	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.02.25	Benfica - Braga	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
21.02.25	Braga - Nacional	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
27.10.24	Braga - Farense	2:0
18.02.24	Braga - Farense	2:1
16.09.23	Farense - Braga	3:1
Club Friendly
16.07.21	Farense - Braga	0:0
Liga Portugal
05.04.21	Farense - Braga	1:2
29.11.20	Braga - Farense	1:0
Taça de Portugal
22.11.15	Farense - Braga	0:1 ET

Upcoming Matches