The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Tondela 43%
Draw 29.9%
Chaves 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
27%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.6%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaves's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Tondela - Chaves Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 60. Maviram E. 48. Manso T. 2. Bebeto 6. Ceitil A. 18. Talocha 30. Ramos R. 9. Miro 11. Costinha
1. Vozinha (G) 19. Tiago Almeida 13. Fernandes V. 4. Bruno Rodrigues 5. Romero A. 14. Wilson R. 12. Ktatau 26. Soro A. 11. Pelagio P. 88. Pina R. 9. Tiago Reis
Substitutes
23. Cascavel 97. Cicero 26. Cunha N. 43. Joao Cesco 70. Moudjatovic M. 21. Pedro Maranhao 17. Roberto 99. Sousa J. (G) 7. Xavier
15. Carraca 23. Gomes R. 70. Morim H. 31. Moura R. (G) 25. Pedro Tiba 29. Platiny 20. Ricardo A. 83. Tounkara M. 21. Wellington Carvalho
Coaches
Pinto L.
Alves M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Pinto L. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Miro ⚽, Costinha (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Pina R. (Pen),
61', Soro A. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
65', Fernandes V. 🟨,
66', Pinto L. 🟨,
72', Wilson R. ↓, Platiny ↑,
75', Platiny 🟨,
77', Ramos R. ↓, Roberto ↑,
79', Ktatau 🟨,
82', Tiago Almeida ↓, Carraca ↑,
82', Ktatau ↓, Pedro Tiba ↑,
83', Pina R. ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
83', Bebeto ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
83', Maviram E. ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
84', Costinha ↓, Xavier ↑,
88', Manso T. ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Moudjatovic M. ⚽, Miro (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2.
Tondela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chaves's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
Portugal
Watch
#ad
Bernardo (G) 
Afonso J. 
Maviram E. 
Miro 
Vozinha (G) 
Romero A. 
Wilson R. 
Moudjatovic M. 
Tounkara M. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
