Match Info

Superettan - Round 13

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Beigi R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Brage		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.9
	2.07	3.50	3.20
	2.16	3.85	3.33
	2.03	3.77	3.27	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.06	3.62	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.06)	3.61 ↑ (3.46)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
44.3%

Draw
25.7%

Värnamo
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

23.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brage that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Brage - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brage will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Värnamo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brage: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frodig V. (G) 21. Ostberg N. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 22. Stagaard T. 24. Hellblom A. 17. Jonsson P. 11. Lundin A. 28. Granstrom G. 20. Nordh G. 12. Mortensen A. 9. Trpcevski F.	1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 5. Bergqvist D. 4. Ohlsson S. 7. Johansson C. 23. Robertsson L. 16. Kujundzic A. 11. Shamoun N. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.
Substitutes
19. Brkic H. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 30. Guadagno J. (G) 5. Konjuhi L. 7. Larsen M. 4. Persson M. 14. Skille J. 15. Stark O.	21. Abdulrazak I. 3. Bjornstrom A. 17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 24. Kamara M. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.
Coaches
Kallberg G.	Tufegdzic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', Lundin A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Nordh G. ⚽, Trpcevski F. (A),
43', Andersson H. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
43', Rapp J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Shamoun N. (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, Keto H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 3 - 1, Nordh G. ⚽, Jonsson P. (A),
56', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
57', 4 - 1, Nordh G. ⚽,
57', Trpcevski F. ↓, Skille J. ↑,
65', Ohlsson S. ↓, Bjornstrom A. ↑,
66', Kujundzic A. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
66', Rapp J. ↓, Freij E. ↑,
75', Shamoun N. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
76', Nordh G. ↓, Stark O. ↑,
80', 5 - 1, Granstrom G. ⚽,
81', Lundin A. ↓, Brkic H. ↑,
81', Stagaard T. ↓, Persson M. ↑,
87', Frodig V. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 2.

Recent form of Brage has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Värnamo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brage will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brage won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brage won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
14.06.26	Sandviken - Brage	3:2 ✺
09.06.26	Brage - Ljungskile	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Landskrona - Brage	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	United Nordic - Brage	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Brage - Norrköping	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
16.06.26	Värnamo - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
09.06.26	Öster - Värnamo	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Värnamo - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Värnamo - Norrby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
20.11.21	Brage - Värnamo	3:1
24.04.21	Värnamo - Brage	1:0
28.07.18	Brage - Värnamo	0:1
30.06.18	Värnamo - Brage	2:3
29.08.13	Brage - Värnamo	1:1
06.05.13	Värnamo - Brage	2:1

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