Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.15	3.5	2.08
	3.47	3.69	2.02
	3.40	3.17	2.15	Watch
	3.12	3.65	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.01)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.08 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
28.5%

Draw
26.7%

Hartlepool United
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

24.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Gateshead - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gateshead (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 7. Adom K. 10. Butterfield J. 32. Chapman H. 22. Edwards C. 3. Ferguson D. 18. Grayson J. 21. Hurst K. 20. John F. 26. Pani C. 5. Richardson K.	1. Cartwright H. (G) 2. Benn J. 11. Charman L. 28. Daly M. 7. Francis J. 3. John C. 5. Kouogun M. 19. Reid A. 14. Sheron N. (C) 23. Topalloj B. 38. Walker B.
Substitutes
35. Bone C. 6. Flint W. 17. Home J. 13. Leech P. (G) 16. Lowery L. 14. Nouble F. 31. Williams B.	10. Campbell A. 8. Ferguson N. 15. Hunter J. 9. Johnson D. 18. Miley J. 27. Oliver V. 40. Smith A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Walker B. ↓, Miley J. ↑,
71', Chapman H. ↓, Lowery L. ↑,
72', Butterfield J. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Topalloj B. ⚽, Charman L. (A),
76', Charman L. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
76', Reid A. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
84', Ferguson D. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
89', Francis J. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 2.

Gateshead has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hartlepool's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gateshead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hartlepool will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 4:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
17.09.25	Gateshead - Middlesbrough U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Woking - Gateshead	5:0 ✺
03.09.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Hartlepool United
English National League
20.09.25	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Hartlepool United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hartlepool United - Boreham Wood	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.04.25	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	3:2
26.12.24	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	4:3
26.03.24	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	7:1
12.08.23	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:1
01.01.19	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:1
26.12.18	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	2:1
01.01.18	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:2

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