Match Info

Date: 28 May 2021, Friday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.15	2.6	2.45	Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.42
	3.46	2.83	2.56
	3.2	2.7	2.38
	3.34	2.77	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.71)	2.74 ↓ (3.18)	2.44 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
28.5%

Draw
33.7%

Londrina
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

22.4%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Londrina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brasil de Pelotas - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Brasil de Pelotas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Londrina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Londrina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.04.21	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	Brasil de Pelotas - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
05.04.21	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Grêmio - Brasil de Pelotas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.05.21	Cianorte - Londrina	0:3 ✺
17.05.21	Londrina - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
15.05.21	Londrina - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
12.05.21	Athletico Paranaense - Londrina	1:2 ✺
09.05.21	Londrina - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.09.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Londrina	1:0
03.05.19	Londrina - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
08.09.18	Londrina - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
26.05.18	Brasil de Pelotas - Londrina	3:0
15.08.17	Londrina - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1
16.05.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Londrina	1:1
18.10.16	Brasil de Pelotas - Londrina	0:1

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