Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday


	Brasiliense		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.5
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	1.89	3.17	3.47
	1.91	3.38	3.74	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.93	3.34	3.58
	1.9	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.99)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	3.57 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasiliense
47.7%

Draw
26.9%

Brasil de Pelotas
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Brasiliense - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Joaozinho ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Pedra G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Igor Morais ⚽,
55', Samoel 🟥,
68', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 0, Pedra G. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.

Brasiliense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brasil de Pelotas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brasiliense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brasiliense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Serie D
11.08.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Brasiliense	1:4 ✺
04.08.24	Brasiliense - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Noroeste - Brasiliense	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Anápolis - Brasiliense	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Brasiliense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWWW
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
11.08.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Brasiliense	1:4 ✺
04.08.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Água Santa - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.08.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Brasiliense	1:4

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