Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.35	4.33
	1.99	3.3	3.87	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.15	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.08)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	3.91 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
47.2%

Draw
28.9%

Catanzaro
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Juve Stabia - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 46. Diakite S. 33. Giorgini A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. (C) 29. Correia O. 10. Pierobon C. 77. Cacciamani A. 28. Torrasi E. 9. Gabrielloni A.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. (C) 62. Frosinini R. 32. Rispoli F. 21. Pompetti M. 30. Alesi G. 14. Liberali M. 94. Di Francesco F. 8. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
5. Battistella T. 23. Boer P. (G) 17. Ciammaglichella A. 55. Leone G. 37. Maistro F. 76. Mannini M. 70. Matheu P. 90. Okoro A. 2. Ricciardi M. 16. Signorini A. (G) 13. Varnier M.	81. Ardizzone S. 5. Bashi E. 98. Buglio D. 83. Castro Rombola C. 2. Esteves G. 6. Fellipe Jack 82. Gjoka K. 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 28. Oudin R. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Abate I.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Mosti N. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Torrasi E. 🟨,
63', Torrasi E. ↓, Leone G. ↑,
63', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
72', Diakite S. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,
79', Frosinini R. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
79', Liberali M. ↓, Oudin R. ↑,
84', Cassandro T. 🟨,
84', Alesi G. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
84', Pompetti M. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
85', Cacciamani A. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
85', Pierobon C. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Di Francesco F. ⚽, Matias Antonini (A),
90+1', Matias Antonini ↓, Bashi E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Catanzaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juve Stabia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Candellone L. (Muscle Injury) Leone G. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Muscle Injury) D'Alessandro M. (Inactive) Pontisso S. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Correia O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Catanzaro: Favasuli C. (Injury) Fellipe Jack (Injury) Iemmello P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Catanzaro: 0.82% Juve Stabia: 0.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Juve Stabia - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.15%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Catanzaro - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.64%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
11.04.26	Juve Stabia - Cesena	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Venezia - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Juve Stabia - Spezia	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Palermo - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
14.04.26	Catanzaro - Modena	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Avellino - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Catanzaro - Monza	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cesena - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Padova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.09.25	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	2:2
01.05.25	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	2:0
25.08.24	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
25.02.23	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	1:4
22.10.22	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	2:0
27.03.22	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	1:1
21.11.21	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	1:1

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