Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 37

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)


	Brescia		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.49	4.38	6.86
	1.51	4.55	6.52
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.5	4.45	6.25	Watch
	1.48	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	4.34 ↑ (4.15)	6.45 ↓ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
63.6%

Draw
21.8%

Lecco
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

22.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

22.1%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Brescia - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lecco will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 32. Papetti A. 18. Jallow A. 4. Paghera F. 23. Galazzi N. 25. Bisoli D. 7. Bjarnason B. 39. Besaggio M. 11. Moncini G.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 8. Sersanti A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 21. Crociata G. 99. Buso N. 14. Parigini V.
Substitutes
30. Avella M. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 9. Bianchi F. 16. Cartano R. 6. Fares M. 31. Ferro M. 21. Fogliata R. 3. Huard M. 14. Mangraviti M. 5. Van de Looi T.	33. Agostino A. (G) 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 45. Inglese R. 7. Lunetta G. 90. Novakovich A. 10. Salcedo E. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G) 4. Smajlovic Z.
Coaches
Maran R.	Malgrati A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bjarnason B. ⚽, Dickmann L. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Moncini G. ⚽, Galazzi N. (A),
31', Parigini V. 🟨,
44', Jallow A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sersanti A. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Moncini G. ⚽, Galazzi N. (A),
54', Bianconi A. 🟨,
54', Caporale A. 🟨,
55', Jallow A. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
62', Moncini G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
62', Paghera F. ↓, Van de Looi T. ↑,
64', Crociata G. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
64', Parigini V. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
69', Papetti A. 🟨,
70', Caporale A. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
72', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
74', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Bianchi F. ⚽,
77', Galazzi N. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
77', Papetti A. ↓, Mangraviti M. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Inglese R. ⚽, Buso N. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Lecco is Relegated to

Recent matches Brescia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecco is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Brescia is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	FeralpiSalò - Brescia	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Brescia - Spezia	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Brescia - Ternana	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Venezia - Brescia	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Brescia - Pisa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTLW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
01.05.24	Lecco - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Parma - Lecco	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Lecco - Venezia	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Lecco - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Spezia - Lecco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.09.23	Lecco - Brescia	0:2

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