Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Italy	Sky Sport


	Parma		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	9	Watch
	1.32	5.25	8.5
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.32	5.78	9.43
	1.32	5.78	9.43
	1.35	4.8	7.5
	1.32	5.55	8.8	Watch
	1.32	5.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	5.41 ↑ (4.95)	8.52 ↑ (7.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
71.4%

Draw
17.5%

Lecco
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.1%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.2%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Parma - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: Parma will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. 3. Osorio Y. 39. Circati A. 77. Di Chiara G. 27. Hernani 8. Estevez N. 13. Bonny A. 10. Bernabe A. 7. Benedyczak A. 28. Mihaila V.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 13. Capradossi E. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 8. Sersanti A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 21. Crociata G. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.
Substitutes
14. Ansaldi C. 4. Balogh B. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 64. Cyprien W. 21. Partipilo A. 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.	97. Cecchini F. (G) 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 28. Louakima C. 7. Lunetta G. 14. Parigini V. 10. Salcedo E. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G) 4. Smajlovic Z.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Malgrati A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bernabe A. ⚽, Bonny A. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Mihaila V. ⚽,
26', Benedyczak A. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
31', 3 - 0, Bernabe A. ⚽, Hernani (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Ionita A. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
58', Sersanti A. 🟨,
59', Mihaila V. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
60', Hernani ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
66', Novakovich A. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
66', Bonny A. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
66', Estevez N. ↓, Cyprien W. ↑,
72', Buso N. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
72', Crociata G. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
83', Circati A. 🟨,
88', Camara D. 🟨,
88', 4 - 0, Camara D. ⚽, Sohm S. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lecco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Parma is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Parma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
19.04.24	Palermo - Parma	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Parma - Spezia	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Parma	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Parma - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	FeralpiSalò - Parma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
20.04.24	Lecco - Venezia	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Lecco - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Spezia - Lecco	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ascoli - Lecco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
12.11.23	Lecco - Parma	3:2

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