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Current Win Probability
Brescia 26.6%
Draw 30.6%
Spezia 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
30.1%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
31.8%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spezia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
57.1%
28.6%
Brescia - Spezia Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% โ 81.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 21. Fogliata R. 6. Verreth M. 39. Besaggio M. 26. Bertagnoli M. 27. Olzer G. 29. Borrelli G.
66. Gori S. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. 77. Bertola N. 32. Vignali L. 29. Cassata F. 5. Esposito Sa. 36. Candelari P. 37. Mateju A. 20. Colak A. 17. Di Serio G.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 5. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 7. Juric A. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.
44. Benvenuto M. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 7. Elia S. 9. Esposito F. 11. Falcinelli D. 4. Ferrer S. 65. Giorgeschi S. 80. Kouda R. 12. Mascardi D. (G) 95. Mosti N. (G) 8. Nagy A. 27. Soleri E.
Coaches
Maran R.
D'Angelo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Bertola N. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Di Serio G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
46', Cassata F. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
48', Di Serio G. 🟨,
50', Vignali L. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Verreth M. ⚽,
62', Colak A. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
62', Di Serio G. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
66', Juric A. 🟨,
69', Borrelli G. 🟨,
70', Cistana A. 🟨,
78', Candelari P. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
78', Olzer G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
82', Dickmann L. 🟨,
86', Fogliata R. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
87', Vignali L. 🟨,
90+1', Bjarnason B. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 0.
Brescia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Spezia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Brescia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Spezia will have a small advantage in this match.
There are questionable in Spezia: Sarr M.
(Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:30 (average 0.9:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:10 (average 0.9:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Brescia - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Italy
Watch
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Lezzerini L. (G) 
Jallow A. 
Verreth M. 
Wisniewski P. 
Hristov P. 
Mateju A. 
Colak A. 
Bjarnason B. 
Buhagiar T. 
Ferrer S. 
Nagy A. 
