Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lecco		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.67	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.68
	4.75	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5.37	3.87	1.73
	5.37	3.87	1.69
	4.33	3.6	1.75
	4.77	3.84	1.72	Watch
	4.9	3.75	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.81)	3.78 ↑ (3.44)	1.7 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
19.3%

Draw
25.1%

Sampdoria
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.5%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

26.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lecco's form might have worsened.

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sampdoria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sampdoria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	5.9%	88.2%

Lecco - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: Sampdoria will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 27. Ionita A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 8. Sersanti A. 14. Parigini V. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 46. Leoni G. 87. Ghilardi D. 33. Gonzalez F. 40. Stojanovic P. 28. Yepes G. 8. Ricci M. 14. Kasami P. 29. Murru N. 19. Alvarez A. 10. Verre V.
Substitutes
13. Capradossi E. 21. Crociata G. 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 45. Inglese R. 83. Lemmens M. 28. Louakima C. 7. Lunetta G. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G)	80. Benedetti L. 13. Conti A. 55. Darboe E. 9. De Luca M. 21. Giordano S. 43. Lukisa S. 11. Pedrola E. 2. Piccini C. 22. Ravaglia N. (G) 12. Tantalocchi E. (G)
Coaches
Malgrati A.	Pirlo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kasami P. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
53', Murru N. ↓, Giordano S. ↑,
56', Novakovich A. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
57', Ricci M. 🟨,
62', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
64', Verre V. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
64', Alvarez A. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
67', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Crociata G. ↑,
67', Parigini V. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑,
73', Lepore F. 🟥,
78', Ionita A. ↓, Lemmens M. ↑,
78', Buso N. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
78', Ricci M. ↓, Lukisa S. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽,
89', Crociata G. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lecco is Relegated to

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sampdoria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
27.04.24	Parma - Lecco	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Lecco - Venezia	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Lecco - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Spezia - Lecco	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWTT
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
27.04.24	Sampdoria - Como	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Spezia - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Sampdoria - Ternana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.12.23	Sampdoria - Lecco	2:0

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