Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Spezia		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.68	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.74	5.69
	1.68	3.74	5.69
	1.67	3.7	4.75
	1.69	3.88	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	5.14 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
56.4%

Draw
25.2%

Lecco
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spezia - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: Spezia will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zoet J. (G) 37. Mateju A. 55. Hristov P. 43. Nikolaou D. 14. Vignali L. 8. Nagy A. 10. Esposito Sa. 7. Elia S. 99. Verde D. 25. Bandinelli F. 16. Falcinelli D.	23. Lamanna E. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 8. Sersanti A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 21. Crociata G. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.
Substitutes
77. Bertola N. 36. Candelari P. 29. Cassata F. 11. Cipot T. 21. Corradini G. 9. Esposito F. 33. Gelashvili I. 80. Kouda R. 24. Moro L. 15. Pietra N. 5. Tanco G. J. 40. Zovko P. (G)	81. Beretta G. 13. Capradossi E. 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 45. Inglese R. 83. Lemmens M. 29. Listkowski M. 7. Lunetta G. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 14. Parigini V.
Coaches
D'Angelo L.	Aglietti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Hristov P. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
31', Sersanti A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Buso N. ⚽, Caporale A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nikolaou D. ↓, Tanco G. J. ↑,
46', Tanco G. J. 🟨,
48', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
57', Novakovich A. 🟨,
61', Lamanna E. 🟨,
64', Falcinelli D. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
64', Vignali L. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
66', Sersanti A. 🟨,
70', Ionita A. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
70', Bandinelli F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
77', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
78', Buso N. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
78', Crociata G. 🟨,
83', Nagy A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
84', Parigini V. 🟨,
85', Novakovich A. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
85', Crociata G. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
88', Celjak V. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Spezia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lecco has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Spezia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Spezia - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Reggiana - Spezia	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Bari - Spezia	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Spezia - FeralpiSalò	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ascoli - Lecco	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Lecco - Palermo	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Lecco	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Lecco - Como	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.11.23	Lecco - Spezia	0:0

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