Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 33

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Minelli D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lecco		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3	3.1	2.35
	3	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.33	3.16	2.42
	3.33	3.11	2.43
	2.75	3.1	2.6
	3.24	3.13	2.37	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.72)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.41 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
30.4%

Draw
30.3%

Reggiana
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

33.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reggiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	35.7%	35.7%

Lecco - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Reggiana will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 96. Galli G. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 21. Crociata G. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	12. Satalino G. (G) 15. Fiamozzi R. 31. Sampirisi M. 4. Rozzio P. 27. Marcandalli A. 3. Pieragnolo E. 42. Bianco A. 8. Cigarini L. 90. Portanova M. 72. Melegoni F. 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
81. Beretta G. 13. Capradossi E. 26. Frigerio M. R. 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 45. Inglese R. 83. Lemmens M. 7. Lunetta G. 10. Salcedo E. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G) 4. Smajlovic Z.	28. Antiste J. 20. Blanco A. 17. Libutti L. 13. Motta E. (G) 18. Okwonkwo O. 29. Pajac M. 23. Pettinari S. 16. Reinhart T. 19. Romagna F. 1. Sposito A. (G) 25. Szyminski P. 7. Varela Djamanca M.
Coaches
Malgrati A.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
19', Marcandalli A. ↓, Szyminski P. ↑,
22', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Portanova M. ↓, Blanco A. ↑,
56', Galli G. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
59', Cigarini L. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Ionita A. ⚽, Lepore F. (A),
64', Gondo C. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
64', Cigarini L. ↓, Reinhart T. ↑,
70', Bianco A. 🟨,
75', Fiamozzi R. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
77', Lepore F. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑,
81', Novakovich A. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
81', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
89', Szyminski P. 🟨,
90+1', Ionita A. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Lecco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Reggiana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lecco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
06.04.24	Spezia - Lecco	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ascoli - Lecco	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Lecco - Palermo	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
06.04.24	Reggiana - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Venezia - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
16.03.24	Reggiana - Spezia	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Catanzaro - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Ascoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.11.23	Reggiana - Lecco	1:1
Club Friendly
13.08.21	Lecco - Reggiana	2:0

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