Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sampdoria		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.75
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.6	5.3
	1.79	3.63	4.66	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.4
	1.75	3.78	4.69	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.79)	3.65 ↑ (3.59)	4.69 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
54.1%

Draw
25.9%

Brescia
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

25.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Sampdoria - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vismara P. (G) 24. Bereszynski B. 6. Romagnoli S. 5. Riccio A. 23. Depaoli F. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 17. Meulensteen M. 14. Kasami P. 18. Venuti L. 16. Borini F. 10. Tutino G.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 19. Corrado N. 26. Bertagnoli M. 6. Verreth M. 39. Besaggio M. 27. Olzer G. 7. Juric A. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
7. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 9. Coda M. 25. Ferrari A. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 44. Ioannou N. 11. Pedrola E. 84. Sekulov N. 33. Silvestri M. (G) 31. Vulikic S. 28. Yepes G.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 5. Calvani G. 21. Fogliata R. 18. Jallow A. 20. Nuamah P. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Sottil A.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Depaoli F. 🟨,
18', Olzer G. 🟨,
23', Dickmann L. 🟨,
45+1', Riccio A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dickmann L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
61', Borini F. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
61', Venuti L. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
67', Olzer G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Bjarnason B. ⚽,
72', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
72', Kasami P. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
76', Riccio A. 🟨,
82', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
82', Juric A. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
90+3', Depaoli F. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
90+3', Borrelli G. ↓, Papetti A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 2.

Sampdoria is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brescia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sampdoria is a favorite.

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Vieira R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
30.10.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Sampdoria - Mantova	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cesena - Sampdoria	3:5 ✺
04.10.24	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Modena - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWLW
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.10.24	Brescia - Spezia	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cesena - Brescia	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Brescia - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
06.10.24	Mantova - Brescia	1:1 ✺
30.09.24	Brescia - Cremonese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.02.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	1:1
03.12.23	Brescia - Sampdoria	3:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Brescia - Sampdoria	0:2
Italian Serie A
01.08.20	Brescia - Sampdoria	1:1
12.01.20	Sampdoria - Brescia	5:1
Coppa Italia
04.12.14	Sampdoria - Brescia	2:0
Italian Serie B
14.04.12	Sampdoria - Brescia	2:0

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